Independent & non-partisan · data-first · as of October 12, 2026

US–CHINA TRADE

The Archive — 2018

2018: the war begins

From memorandum to first shots: Section 301 moved from investigation to statute-book within six months, and by year-end roughly half of all Chinese imports faced a tariff. Yet the ledger barely noticed — imports hit a record $538.5 billion as importers front-ran the lists.

tariff

Global Steel and Aluminum Tariffs (§232)

Citing national security under Section 232, the U.S. imposes 25% duties on steel and 10% on aluminum imports from most countries, China included. The measures sit apart from the Section 301 track but harden the tariff architecture of the year.

Section 232 White House / Federal Register ↗

policy

Presidential Memorandum on China

Following the Section 301 findings, the White House directs USTR to propose tariffs on roughly $50 billion of Chinese goods and to pursue investment restrictions and a WTO case over forced technology transfer. China signals it will "fight to the end" to defend its interests.

Section 301 USTR, Section 301 Investigations ↗

tariff

Proposed Tariff List Published

USTR publishes a list of 1,333 Chinese products worth about $50 billion annually, proposed at a 25% rate — heavy on aerospace, machinery and information-technology goods rather than consumer items.

Section 301 USTR, Section 301 Investigations ↗

tariff

China Announces Retaliation

Beijing responds within hours with proposed duties on 106 U.S. products — soybeans, aircraft, automobiles and chemicals among them — targeting politically sensitive U.S. farm and manufacturing states.

USTR, China country page ↗

tariff

List 3 Takes Effect at 10%

Tariffs extend to roughly $200 billion of imports — this time including consumer goods — at an initial 10%, with a scheduled rise to 25% on January 1, 2019. About half of all Chinese imports now face some tariff.

Section 301 USTR, Section 301 Investigations ↗

talks

Buenos Aires Truce

On the sidelines of the G20 summit, Presidents Trump and Xi agree to a 90-day pause: the U.S. holds the List 3 rate at 10% and postpones List 4, while talks on structural issues continue. Markets rally worldwide.

Congressional Research Service ↗