Independent & non-partisan · data-first · as of October 12, 2026

US–CHINA TRADE

The Archive — 2023

2023: capital joins the perimeter

Capital joined the perimeter — an outbound investment screening order — while BIS refined chip rules and a leaders' meeting at APEC set the floor. Goods trade contracted about 5% in both directions.

policy

Outbound Investment Executive Order

A new order creates screening of U.S. investment flowing into Chinese semiconductors, quantum computing and artificial intelligence — the first time the United States systematically regulates capital exports, not just goods and technology.

Federal Register ↗

tech

Chip Controls Updated

BIS refines the October 2022 rules to close workarounds — denser memory chips, more equipment categories, new country-level licensing. Allied governments in Tokyo, The Hague and Seoul begin aligning their own controls.

Foreign Direct Product Rule Bureau of Industry and Security ↗

talks

San Francisco Summit

On the sidelines of APEC, the two presidents meet for the first time in a year and agree to resume military-to-military contacts, counter-narcotics cooperation and a dialogue on AI risk. Tariffs stay untouched, but the floor under the relationship holds.

Congressional Research Service ↗